Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.932124 2.311377 2.737118 3.249221 3.847189 4.522002 5.339839
2026-01-25 1.326763 1.788315 2.363214 3.126986 4.109485 5.324692 6.934590
2026-02-01 0.964343 1.437491 2.080248 3.006706 4.295186 6.008911 8.442644
2026-02-08 0.759391 1.234214 1.928638 3.000377 4.590166 6.833616 10.203080
2026-02-15 0.617458 1.084192 1.812919 3.006961 4.879719 7.659705 12.037656
2026-02-22 0.503101 0.949235 1.689105 2.969435 5.081130 8.360811 13.747145
2026-03-01 0.396416 0.802407 1.516278 2.818101 5.070401 8.720653 14.955465
2026-03-08 0.330143 0.712744 1.422278 2.778794 5.228071 9.350088 16.637774
2026-03-15 0.279943 0.642467 1.349342 2.761716 5.414624 10.036691 18.469831
2026-03-22 0.258605 0.625772 1.373273 2.924136 5.936343 11.339640 21.461395
2026-03-29 0.232077 0.592287 1.357935 3.006906 6.317041 12.426661 24.169133
2026-04-05 0.212946 0.571273 1.364146 3.131806 6.789404 13.718750 27.351348
2026-04-12 0.185521 0.525839 1.312734 3.134260 7.028775 14.616592 29.922002
2026-04-19 0.154455 0.464324 1.215118 3.023373 7.024426 15.050557 31.664304
2026-04-26 0.128428 0.409464 1.122727 2.908971 6.996062 15.430433 33.331250
2026-05-03 0.112405 0.378005 1.080851 2.903528 7.200036 16.291286 36.015114
2026-05-10 0.099215 0.351432 1.046401 2.910138 7.430198 17.224695 38.920997
2026-05-17 0.086045 0.321505 0.997666 2.873782 7.556362 17.948233 41.451730
2026-05-24 0.070757 0.280538 0.911035 2.726926 7.402972 18.052057 42.683482
2026-05-31 0.061426 0.256831 0.868405 2.688786 7.506692 18.729326 45.198631
2026-06-07 0.054007 0.237737 0.835625 2.672214 7.661375 19.533814 48.055372
2026-06-14 0.052079 0.238498 0.863486 2.829845 8.277899 21.452677 53.543064
2026-06-21 0.048294 0.231094 0.864437 2.910183 8.701743 22.954992 58.197252